Definition of Rational Expectations

These are the expectations formed in accordance with the actual process determining a variable conditional on the available information. In other words, Rational Expectations regarding a particular variable are those expectations which are formed taking in consideration all the available information regarding the actual processes determining the variable. The Rational Expectations about the value of a variable Y in period t, keeping in mind the values of other variables X, Z which affect Y can be formed in accordance with the following equation:
Yt = a0 + a1Yt-1 + a2Xt-1 + a3Zt-1
The theory of Rational Expectations finds its uses in various theories such as life cycle hypothesis, permanent income hypothesis, policy ineffectiveness proposition, efficient market theory of the stock prices, etc.

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