Econometrics

Econometrics

Assignment 2
1. Females, on average, are shorter  and weigh less than males. One of your friends, who is a pre -med student, tells you that in addition, females will weigh less for a given height. To test this
hypothesis, you collect height and weight of 29 female and 81 male students at your university. A
regression of the weight on a constant, height, and a binary variable, which takes a value of one for
females and is zero otherwise, yields the following result:

= -229.21 – 6.36 × Female + 5.58 × Height ,  =0.50, SER = 20.99

where Studentw is weight measured in pounds and Height  is measured in inches.

(a) Interpret the results. Does it make sense to have a negative intercept?
(b) You decide that in order to give an interpretation to the intercept you should rescale the height
variable. One possibili ty is to subtract 5 ft. or 60 inches from your Height , because the minimum
height in your data set is 62 inches. The resulting new intercept is now 105.58. Can you interpret this
number now? Do you thing that the regression   has changed? What about the standard error of the
regression?
(c) You have learned that correlation does not imply causation. Although this is true mathematically,
does this always apply?

2. The cost of attending your college has once again gone up. Although you have been told that
education is investment in human capital, which carries a return of roughly 10% a year, you (and your
parents) are not pleased. One of the administrators at your university/college does not make the
situation better by telling you that you pay more because the reputation of your institution is better
than that of others. To investigate this hypothesis, you collect data randomly for 100 national
universities and liberal arts colleges from the 2000-2001 U.S. News and World Report  annual
rankings. Next you perform the following regression

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= 7,311.17 + 3,985.20 × Reputation  – 0.20 × Size  + 8,406.79 × Dpriv – 416.38 × Dlibart  –
2,376.51 × Dreligion

R2
=0.72, SER = 3,773.35

where Cost is Tuition, Fees, Room and Board in dollars,  Reputation  is the index used in  U.S. News
and World Report  (based on a survey of university presidents and chief academic officers), which
ranges from 1 (“marginal”) to 5 (“distinguished”),  Size  is the number of undergraduate students, and
Dpriv,  Dlibart , and  Dreligion  are binary variabl es indicating whether the institution is private, a liberal
arts college, and has a religious affiliation.
(a) Interpret the results. Do the coefficients have the expected sign?
(b) What is the forecasted cost for a liberal arts college, which has no relig ious affiliation, a size of
1,500 students and a reputation level of 4.5?  (All liberal arts colleges are private.)
(c) To save money, you are willing to switch from a private university to a public university, which has
a ranking of 0.5 less and 10,000 mo re students. What is the effect on your cost? Is it substantial?
(d) Eliminating the  Size  and  Dlibart  variables from your regression, the estimation regression
becomes

= 5,450.35 + 3,538.84 × Reputation  + 10,935.70  × Dpriv – 2,783.31 × Dreligion ;
=0.72 ,  SER = 3,792.68

Why do you think that the effect of attending a private institution has increased now?
(e) What can you say about causation in the above relationship? Is it possible that  Cost affects
Reputation  rather than the other way around?

 
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