“The Bayesian approach simply encourages scientists to guess at probabilities and put
these into the likelihood ratio formula”
“The Bayesian approach represents a robust approach to interpreting evidence”
Consider the two opposing statements above.
Outline the origins of these two statements
and discuss this issue with reference to TWO evidence types of your choosing. You should
consider the relevance of knowledge, experience, data and understanding.
You are expected to review this debate, but also argue a case and come to a balanced and
rational conclusion.
A good essay will:
Be structured effectively and will communicate ideas clearly.
Demonstrate an understanding of the case assessment and interpretation
Demonstrate an understanding of the nature of probability
Use examples to support your ideas
Refer to the published literature and cases
Make reference to different fields of forensic science
Demonstrate an understanding of debates regarding the use of the likelihood ratio
End with a balanced conclusion
Note: You should NOT cite lecturers,
unless you are citing published work.
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